ISWC OpenIR  > 水保所知识产出(1956---)
县南沟流域 农户生态经济 行为 研究
孙在伟
学位类型硕士
导师王继军
2015-05
学位授予单位中国科学院研究生院
学位授予地点北京
关键词农户生态经济行为 结构方程模型 多元线性回归模型 县南沟流域
摘要

县南沟流域经过多年的退耕还林,其生态环境逐渐修复,商品型生态农业稳定发
展,但是经济系统与生态系统相悖态势依然存在,农户作为县南沟流域生态经济系统
的主导者,直接影响着商品型生态农业的发展方向与进程。因此,必须明确农户生态
经济行为过程或农户生态经济行为产生的动机。基于此,根据县南沟流域现有资料和
实地调研结果,在明确农户生态经济行为的主要影响要素的基础上,分析农户生态经
济行为及其与产业-资源的耦合关系,提出农户生态经济行为合理化的措施。
(1)通过对县南沟近10年农业生态经济相关数据的分析,表明:农户自身素质
和家庭环境、资源禀赋、利益趋向性等是影响农户经济行为的主要要素。家庭抉择者
的自身素质和家庭环境决定了农户的选择和判断能力以及风险意识;农户资源禀赋的
差异性决定了农户承担风险的能力和资源优势;利益趋向性是农户做出行为选择的内
在动力;3个因素相辅相成,共同作用,是农户做出经济行为选择的必要影响因素。
(2)运用因子分析法、多元线性回归法对农户生态经济行为的主要影响要素做
进一步分析,确定了各要素对农户生态经济行为的影响程度:农户的平均家庭受教育
程度、户主的兴趣爱好、户主的风险意识、农户的土地利用率、户主的商品意识对农
户的生态经济行为有着重要影响。户主的商品意识对其的影响最大,家庭平均受教育
程度和户主的风险意识对其的影响最小。
(3)结合确定的农户生态经济行为的主要影响要素,运用结构方程模型分析了
农户生态经济行为系统的耦合关系。结果表明:自身因素、利益取向、风险意识是农
户生态经济行为系统的主要影响要素。自身因素通过对利益取向和风险意识的影响间
接对系统耦合状态产生作用。利益取向和风险意识对行为系统的直接影响系数为
1.01、0.61,说明利益取向的影响作用最强烈。这说明农户生态经济行为选择尚未建
立在农户素质与意识的基础之上,影响了系统良性耦合的实现以及区域经济效益的进
一步提高。
(4)为了进一步完善农户生态经济行为的研究,运用结构方程分析了农户行为
与产业-资源之间的耦合关系。结果表明:农业资源、农户行为、产业态势在商品型
生态农业发展过程中处于主体地位,三者相互作用共同影响着农户商品型生态农业的
发展与演替。由于农户生态经济行为并没有随着商品型生态农业系统相关要素的变化
而发生相适应性变化,使得资源短缺与资源浪费现象并存。农户行为直接影响系统耦
合态势,但是标准化系数只有 0.15,导致农业资源和产业态势对系统耦合的影响程度
较低,使系统耦合对经济效益的影响强度较弱,只有 0.38,即商品型生态农业的发展
改变了农户的生态经济行为,但是农户行为的改变并没有引起产业资源与产业结构之
间的有机结合。综上,农户生态经济行为对商品型生态农业系统有着至关重要的作用,针对农户
行为的现状,在保持目前商品型生态经济发展状况的基础上,应提高农户的主导意识
和作用,例如增加农户的教育水平,提高农户对新技术、新政策的理解和接受能力,
即通过碳汇产业的发展,改善现阶段商品型生态农业系统链网结构,实现农业产业与
资源的优化耦合。
关键词:农户生态经济行为 结构方程模型 多元线性回归模型 县南沟流域

其他摘要

After years of returning farmland to forest, Xiannangou watershed’s ecological
environment gradually repaired and the ecological agriculture developed stably, however, the contrary
situation between economic system and ecological system still exist. Peasants are leaders of
eco-economic system in Xiannangou watershed, they affect the development direction and process of
ecological agriculture directly. Therefore, we must make clear the process of ecological economic
activity and the farmers’ motive of ecological economic actions. According to the existing data and field
investigation results, in a clear main influence factors of farmers’ ecological economic actions, we
analyzed ecological economic actions of households and the coupling relationship between industry and
resources, put forward rationalization measures for ecological economic actions of households as well.
(1) We analyzed Xiannangou watershed’s agricultural ecological data in recent 10 years. The
results show that the influencing factors of peasants’ economic action can be summarized as: famers’
self-quality and family environment, resources endowment, tendency of interest. Household head’s
self-quality and family environment decide peasant’s choice, judgment and risk awareness. The
difference of resources endowment decide farmers’ ability to bear risks and their resource advantage.
Interest is all famers’ ultimate pursuit, so interest tendency is the root cause whatever famers choose.
These three factors make it each other possible and work together. They are the necessary factors which
affect peasants’ economic action choices.
(2) We analyzed the main influence factors affecting the households’ ecological economic actions,
and determined the degree of each factor’s influence by method of factor analysis and multiple linear
regression. Multiple linear regression model was set up as follows: The households’ average level of
education and land utilization, the head of the household’s interests, risk awareness and commodity
consciousness had significant influence on households’ ecological economic actions. The head of the
household’s commodity consciousness effected most,  while the households’ average level of education and
the head of the household’s risk awareness effected the least.
(3) Combined with certain main influence factors of households’ ecological economic actions, we
applied structural equation model on analyzing the coupling relationship of the system of the
household’s ecological economic action. The results showed that self-factor, interest orientation and risk
consciousness were the main influencing factors of the eco-economy behavior system. Self-factor
indirectly affected system couple state through influencing interest orientation and risk consciousness.
The directly influence coefficient of interest orientation and risk consciousness to the system was 1.01,
0.61, respectively, illustrating interest orientation had the most large influence power. That meant
household ecological economic behavior choice had not been established on the household’s quality and
consciousness, which influenced the realization of the benign coupling system and the regional
economic benefit’s improving.  (4) In order to further improve the ecological economic actions of households research, we used
structural equation to analyze the coupling relationship between farmers’ action and industry-resources.
The results showed that agricultural resources, farmers behavior and industry trend were in the main
position of the development process of ecological agriculture with commodity. The three factors
interaction affected the development and succession of ecological agriculture of households. As farmers’
ecological economic actions had not changed with relevant factors of ecological agriculture,
phenomenon of the shortage of resources and the waste of resources coexisted. Farmers behavior
directly affected the coupling system, but the standardized coefficient was only 0.15. Therefore, the
influence of agricultural resource and industry situation on system coupling was low, making the system
coupling effect on the economic strength was weak, only 0.38. That is to say, the development of
ecological agriculture with commodity changed the ecological economic actions of households, but the
change of farmers’ behavior had not caused the organic combination between industrial resources and
industrial structure.
In conclusion, ecological economic actions of households plays a vital role in ecological
agriculture system. Aiming at the current situation of peasant household behavior, while maintaining the
development of the current ecological economic situation, we should improve the farmers’ leading
consciousness and action. For example, increasing the education level of farmers, improving farmers’
ability of understanding new technologies and policies, improving the present chain net structure of
ecological agricultural system, finally achieving the optimal coupling of agricultural industry and
resource.
KEY WORDS: ecological economic actions of households; structural equation model; multiple
linear regression; Xiannangou watershed

语种中文
文献类型学位论文
条目标识符sbir.nwafu.edu.cn/handle/361005/9050
专题水保所知识产出(1956---)
推荐引用方式
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孙在伟. 县南沟流域 农户生态经济 行为 研究[D]. 北京. 中国科学院研究生院,2015.
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