Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.194

ISWC OpenIR > 水保所科研产出--SCI > 2018--SCI

	Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions
	Shouzhang Peng 1; Zhi Li 2; Li, Z (reprint author), Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China.
文章类型	Article
	2018
发表期刊	SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN	0048-9697
通讯作者邮箱	lizhibox@nwafu.edu.cn
卷号	639 页码:476-484
摘要	To adapt to future climate change, appropriate land use patterns are desired. Potential natural vegetation (PNV) emphasizing the dominant role of climate can provide a useful baseline to guide the potential land use adjustment. This work is particularly important for the revegetated regions with intensive human perturbation. However, it has received little attention. This study chose China's Loess Plateau, a typical revegetated region, as an example study area to generate the PNV patterns with high spatial resolution over 2071-2100 with a process-based dynamic vegetation model (LPJ-GUESS), and further investigated the potential land use adjustment through comparing the simulated and observed land use patterns. Compared with 1981-2010, the projected PNV over 2071-2100 would have less forest and more steppe because of drier climate. Subsequently, 25.3-55.0% of the observed forests and 79.3-91.9% of the observed grasslands in 2010 can be kept over 2071-2100, and the rest of the existing forested area and grassland were expected to be more suitable for steppes and forests, respectively. To meet the request of China's Grain for Green Project, 60.9-84.8% of the existing steep farmland could be converted to grassland and the other for forest. Our results highlight the importance in adjusting the existing vegetation pattern to adapt to climate change. The research approach is extendable and provides a framework to evaluate the sustainability of the existing land use pattern under future climate. (c) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
关键词	Climate Change Land Use Adjustment Lpj-guess Potential Natural Vegetation Revegetated Regions
学科领域	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
DOI	10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.194
收录类别	SCI
出版地	PO BOX 211, 1000 AE AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000436806200046
出版者	ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
项目资助者	National Natural Science Foundation of China [41601058, 41761144060] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China [41601058, 41761144060] ; CAS Light of West China Program [XAB2015B07] ; CAS Light of West China Program [XAB2015B07]
引用统计	被引频次：3[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	sbir.nwafu.edu.cn/handle/361005/8181
专题	水保所科研产出--SCI_2018--SCI
通讯作者	Li, Z (reprint author), Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China.
作者单位	1.Northwest A&F Univ, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 2.Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shouzhang Peng,Zhi Li,Li, Z . Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2018,639:476-484.
APA	Shouzhang Peng,Zhi Li,&Li, Z .(2018).Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,639,476-484.
MLA	Shouzhang Peng,et al."Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 639(2018):476-484.

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